Polymarket <> Opinion

Two-legged arbitrage — lock YES + NO below $1.00 and hold to resolution

PolymarketOpinionMatched order books between Polymarket and Opinion

The bot buys the YES and NO legs on opposite venues whenever their combined cost drops below $1.00, then holds to resolution. Each resolved pair pays $1.00 per share regardless of outcome — there is no token to sell across venues, so profit is locked the moment both legs fill.

Matched markets
3
Profitable now
2
Best edge
+5.3%
Potential profit
$6,363

Will the incumbent win the 2026 UK general election?

+5.3%
PoliticsLive
BUY YESOpinion
$0.46
BUY NOPolymarket
$0.49
Combined cost$0.95 / $1.00
Pays $1.00/share at resolution — held, no sell leg needed.
Spread 5.0¢Liquidity $67.8K

Will a government shutdown begin before Oct 1, 2026?

+5.3%
PoliticsLive
BUY YESPolymarket
$0.31
BUY NOOpinion
$0.64
Combined cost$0.95 / $1.00
Pays $1.00/share at resolution — held, no sell leg needed.
Spread 5.0¢Liquidity $53.1K

Will the challenger win the 2026 French presidential race?

No edge
PoliticsStale
BUY YESPolymarket
$0.47
BUY NOOpinion
$0.54
Combined cost$1.01 / $1.00
Pays $1.00/share at resolution — held, no sell leg needed.
Spread -1.0¢Liquidity $29.7K