Polymarket <> Probable

Two-legged arbitrage — lock YES + NO below $1.00 and hold to resolution

PolymarketProbableMatched order books between Polymarket and Probable

The bot buys the YES and NO legs on opposite venues whenever their combined cost drops below $1.00, then holds to resolution. Each resolved pair pays $1.00 per share regardless of outcome — there is no token to sell across venues, so profit is locked the moment both legs fill.

Matched markets
3
Profitable now
2
Best edge
+5.3%
Potential profit
$8,630

Will ETH flip a $1T market cap in 2026?

+5.3%
CryptoLive
BUY YESPolymarket
$0.37
BUY NOProbable
$0.58
Combined cost$0.95 / $1.00
Pays $1.00/share at resolution — held, no sell leg needed.
Spread 5.0¢Liquidity $128K

Will Solana reach a new all-time high in 2026?

+3.1%
CryptoClosing
BUY YESProbable
$0.51
BUY NOPolymarket
$0.46
Combined cost$0.97 / $1.00
Pays $1.00/share at resolution — held, no sell leg needed.
Spread 3.0¢Liquidity $61.2K

Will OpenAI release a model called GPT-6 in 2026?

No edge
CryptoLive
BUY YESProbable
$0.56
BUY NOPolymarket
$0.45
Combined cost$1.01 / $1.00
Pays $1.00/share at resolution — held, no sell leg needed.
Spread -1.0¢Liquidity $42.6K